Showing posts with label Imran Khan party position. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Imran Khan party position. Show all posts

Friday, August 19, 2011

Will Imran Khan Win Next Election?

Imran Khan--chairman of PTI (Pakistan Tehreek e Insaf) is the most dynamic, hard working and active politician of Pakistan these days, having Jalsas, rallies, protest sit-ins and all sort of political movements in different parts of Pakistan. He is also very active in media with a strong presence in some top Talks shows of Pakistani TV Channels.
Imran Khan popularityPTI has got a good momentum in recent past and a lot of notables from different regions like Attock, Mardan, Lahore, Sheikhupura and other parts of the country have joined PTI. PTI has got a huge popularity in the youth and undoubtedly, PTI is the most popular party of Pakistan particularly in youth. After stunning popularity of PTI in past one year or so, now this question has become highly important and most discussed that Will Imran Khan's party, PTI will win next election? also people ask that How many seats PTI will get in next election? and Will PTI clean sweep in next election?
Looking at the current scenario where all other tested political parties have disappointed masses and looking at the way, political maturity is coming in Pakistan, it seems that future of PTI is quite bright. If next elections are free and fair under a free election commission and if Imran Khan continues his movement with same energies, PTI can win about 50 seats in National assembly, mostly from Khyber Pakhtunkhwah and Punjab. PTI is expected to win a big number of provincial assembly seats as well in KPK and Punjab. PTI will be giving a tough time to PML-N in Lahore and it's expected that PTI will get a victory in Lahore especially in the urban areas. If Jahangir Tareen's party of clean also joins PTI or goes for an alliance with PTI, things can become more in favor of PTI and it can lead to a revolution in the next election.
Imran Khan often claims for a clean sweep in next general elections but looking at the position of PTI in Sindh and Baluchistan, it seems that this claim is much exaggerated and doesn't seem possible unless some miracle done. However, things may change in coming months if some notables of Sindh or Baluchistan join PTI.

Thursday, July 14, 2011

Current Party Position in Pakistan politics

 The politics of Pakistan has got a quick momentum in last few days after MQM left government coalition and went into the opposition benches in national assembly as well as in Sindh Assembly. Unpredictable warm welcoming of PML-N to its close rival MQM in the opposition benches surprised the public and the surprise went up manifold when same party (PML-N) approached MQM to form a grand alliance. PML-N leader Mian Nawaz Sharif, had announced at APC in London a few years back that no coalition will be made ever with MQM and all parties which were there in APC, were of the view that MQM is a terrorist organization and was involved in May, 12 incident of Karachi. 
Currently, PML-N is facing political loneliness and after losing AJK election, PML-N has similar fear in Pakistan's upcoming elections too and to avoid that, such alliances are being proposed by PML-N.

Current Party Position in Pakistan is as follows:
According to PEW polls and also according to the survey of NEWS WEEK, PTI (Pakistan Tehreek e Insaf ) is the most popular party in Pakistan at the moment due to clear stance and bold politics of Imran Khan. However, PTI lacks good electables from most of the constituencies and to turn this popularity into the assembly seats, PTI will have to look for clean and well positioned candidates in upcoming elections. However, there are chances that many notable politicians may join PTI before upcoming elections.
PML-N is the second most popular party according to current party position in Pakistan. However, Imran Khan's factor may badly damage PML-N and rightist votes may divide resulting in a benefit to parties like PPP and PML-Q.
PPP, despite its poor performance in last three years of governance, yet enjoys a good popularity in Sindh and many parts of Punjab, KPK and Baluchistan. PPP has already won with a big margin in recent Elections of Azad Kashmir while its also having a majority government in Gilgit Baltistan. However, separation of people like Shah Mehmood Qureshi, Safdar Abbasi and Naheed Khan may damage the vote bank of PPP to some extent.
PML-Q isn't a popular party at all in terms of its ideology but it contains some big names and those names do have their own vote bank which gives PML-Q  a prominent place in the political setup of Pakistan. Recent alliance of PPP and PML-Q is supposed to be long lasting and will result in seat adjustment in next elections which may give a good edge to both parties over their rivals like PML-N, PTI etc.
MQM is the most popular party in Karachi, Hyderabad and some other parts of the Sindh but has failed to get approved by the people of other parts of the country. MQM couldn't win any seat in recent AJK elections. MQM has also start organizing itself in Punjab and other parts of the country as well but isn't yet in any strong position in these areas.
Jamat e Islami (JI) is one of the ideological parties of Pakistan with its own specific but limited vote bank. JI may not win large number of seats in next election but it's sure that any party which will go in an alliance with JI, will get a good number of JI votes. JI has a good vote bank in Khyber Pakhtunkhwah, Lahore, Karachi and different other parts of the country. It seems that JI isn't going to join grand opposition alliance with PML-N and MQM due to its reservation over MQM politics.
Parties like ANP and JUI-F also hold a strong position in Khyber Pakhtunkwah and are expected to get few seats in next election. Currerntly ANP is enjoying governance in KPK due to boycott of JI and PTI but it's expected that it won't be able to get this number of seats in next elections due to Imran Khan factor and JI.