Thursday, July 14, 2011

Current Party Position in Pakistan politics

 The politics of Pakistan has got a quick momentum in last few days after MQM left government coalition and went into the opposition benches in national assembly as well as in Sindh Assembly. Unpredictable warm welcoming of PML-N to its close rival MQM in the opposition benches surprised the public and the surprise went up manifold when same party (PML-N) approached MQM to form a grand alliance. PML-N leader Mian Nawaz Sharif, had announced at APC in London a few years back that no coalition will be made ever with MQM and all parties which were there in APC, were of the view that MQM is a terrorist organization and was involved in May, 12 incident of Karachi. 
Currently, PML-N is facing political loneliness and after losing AJK election, PML-N has similar fear in Pakistan's upcoming elections too and to avoid that, such alliances are being proposed by PML-N.

Current Party Position in Pakistan is as follows:
According to PEW polls and also according to the survey of NEWS WEEK, PTI (Pakistan Tehreek e Insaf ) is the most popular party in Pakistan at the moment due to clear stance and bold politics of Imran Khan. However, PTI lacks good electables from most of the constituencies and to turn this popularity into the assembly seats, PTI will have to look for clean and well positioned candidates in upcoming elections. However, there are chances that many notable politicians may join PTI before upcoming elections.
PML-N is the second most popular party according to current party position in Pakistan. However, Imran Khan's factor may badly damage PML-N and rightist votes may divide resulting in a benefit to parties like PPP and PML-Q.
PPP, despite its poor performance in last three years of governance, yet enjoys a good popularity in Sindh and many parts of Punjab, KPK and Baluchistan. PPP has already won with a big margin in recent Elections of Azad Kashmir while its also having a majority government in Gilgit Baltistan. However, separation of people like Shah Mehmood Qureshi, Safdar Abbasi and Naheed Khan may damage the vote bank of PPP to some extent.
PML-Q isn't a popular party at all in terms of its ideology but it contains some big names and those names do have their own vote bank which gives PML-Q  a prominent place in the political setup of Pakistan. Recent alliance of PPP and PML-Q is supposed to be long lasting and will result in seat adjustment in next elections which may give a good edge to both parties over their rivals like PML-N, PTI etc.
MQM is the most popular party in Karachi, Hyderabad and some other parts of the Sindh but has failed to get approved by the people of other parts of the country. MQM couldn't win any seat in recent AJK elections. MQM has also start organizing itself in Punjab and other parts of the country as well but isn't yet in any strong position in these areas.
Jamat e Islami (JI) is one of the ideological parties of Pakistan with its own specific but limited vote bank. JI may not win large number of seats in next election but it's sure that any party which will go in an alliance with JI, will get a good number of JI votes. JI has a good vote bank in Khyber Pakhtunkhwah, Lahore, Karachi and different other parts of the country. It seems that JI isn't going to join grand opposition alliance with PML-N and MQM due to its reservation over MQM politics.
Parties like ANP and JUI-F also hold a strong position in Khyber Pakhtunkwah and are expected to get few seats in next election. Currerntly ANP is enjoying governance in KPK due to boycott of JI and PTI but it's expected that it won't be able to get this number of seats in next elections due to Imran Khan factor and JI.